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The results of the single-equation cointegration tests indicate that patterns of cointegration in the two main and four …&P 500 and G-20 stock indices moved towards less cointegration. The decreasing number of cointegrating relationships implies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408937
cointegration analysis. Based on the estimated models, the thesis of the existence of a long-run relationship between the studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014515556
.1 to 2001.4. The preferred model features seasonal cointegration and was estimated following a structural time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115684
This paper develops a new methodology that makes use of the factor structure of large dimensional panels to understand the nature of non-stationarity in the data. We refer to it as PANIC - a 'Panel Analysis of Non-stationarity in Idiosyncratic and Common components'. PANIC consists of univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121962
Bayesian inference requires an analyst to set priors. Setting the right prior is crucial for precise forecasts. This paper analyzes how optimal prior changes when an economy is hit by a recession. For this task, an autoregressive distributed lag model is chosen. The results show that a sharp...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156355
The paper addresses the empirical application of cointegration analysis to four important macroeconomic variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074059
This paper analyzes data from 107 countries, spanning 1971-2009, and grouped into three income-based panels to determine the direction and sign of panel long-run causality between transport energy consumption per capita and real GDP per capita. The methods employed address heterogeneity and (at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062591
The paper offers adaptation of cointegration analysis for statistical arbitrage. Cointegration is a structural … cointegration tests due to their low power; their formulation is incompatible with the GBM process for asset price. However, the …. Appendix B discusses the common issues of equity pairs trading that relies on simple cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064530
) approach is used to explore this asymmetry. The use of an asymmetric error correction model with asymmetric cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014242432
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218013