This paper analyzes which factors are driving the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment. Using the results of a poll …-of-sample forecasts for the ZEW Indicator. We find that a simple model that includes German manufacturing order data, the German yield … model as well as the consensus forecast for the ZEW Indicator as published by news agencies. …

Managers Index (PMI) and the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (ZEW) lead the yearon-year growth rate of German industrial … even lag economic activity. Analyzing lead/lag structures among the indicators we find that the ZEW indicator leads the ifo … evaluations suggest that both ifo and ZEW provide the best forecasts for industrial production among the three indicators ifo, PMI …

the most relevant recent developments in this field of economic forecasting. To begin with, we analyze the problem of … resulting leading indicator based forecasts, and review the recent literature on the forecasting performance of leading …

for Germany preselected from a broader set using the Elastic Net soft-thresholding rule. The three states represent … probabilities with a simple GDP forecasting model yields an accurate nowcast for the steepest decline in GDP in 2009Q1 and a correct …

We present a comprehensive disaggregate approach for short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany by explicitly …

The paper describes the "Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Forecasting Dashboard (ForDas)". This tool aims at … providing, on a non-commercial basis, historical and actual macroeconomic forecast data for the Germany economy to researchers …