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premium on forint denominated assets. -- monetary policy ; global inbalalnces ; forecasting ; simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009350034
In this paper the OECD’s interlink model is used to explore several possible channels through which a narrowing of the US current account deficit could occur. The shocks considered include dollar depreciation, fiscal consolidation, and an improvement in the non-price competitiveness of US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444349
The balance of payments deficit is the problem faced by numerous countries. To solve the problem of the balance of payment deficit, the creators of economic policy try to stimulate the sectors that secure the largest inflow of foreign currencies and have a beneficial impact on the reduction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281784
The geography and composition of international trade are changing fast. We link a macroeconomic growth model and sectoral CGE framework in order to project the world economy forward to the year 2035 and assess to what extent current trends in trade are expected to continue. Constructing fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012882811
The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research. Using a 5-region version of the GIMF, this paper illustrates the model's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064363
Constructing fully traceable scenarios based on assumptions grounded in the literature, we are also able to isolate the relative impact of key economic drivers. We find that the stakes for developing countries are particularly high: The emergence of new players in the world economy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340132
supply shocks. After some preliminary analysis with a simple theoretical model, we apply a rich two-country simulation model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223767
policy cooperation. Results are based both on a theoretical study of the structure of the estimated model and a simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132355
We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt, and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one-fourth and one-third of the increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074008
We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt, and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one-fourth and one-third of the increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202659