There are many indications that formal methods are not used to their full potential by central banks today. In this paper we demonstrate how BVAR and DSGE models can be used to shed light on questions that policy makers deal with in practice using data from Sweden. We compare the forecast...

Many economic time series exhibit dramatic breaks associated with events such as economic recessions, financial panics, and currency crises. Such changes in regime may arise from tipping points or other nonlinear dynamics and are core to some of the most important questions in macroeconomics....

1. General Introduction -- 2. Dynamics in Econometrics -- 3. Estimating the Model -- 4. Testing the Model -- 5. Non-Stationarity and Cointegration -- 6. Specifying the ARDL Model -- 7. Vector Autoregressions -- 8. Panel Data Models -- 9. Non-Stationary Panels -- 10. The Binary Qualitative Model.