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Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the '90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported … "cost-push" factors induced deflationary pressure keeping trend inflation below target. The cycle block provides evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795587
reactiveness of inflation to the unemployment rate. In regard to a monetary union, the national unemployment multiplier in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238840
The authors solve the IS puzzle for the G7 countries. They find that five of the G7 countries have the expected significant negative relationship between the output gap and the real-rate gap; the time series of the remaining two show material deviation from expected IS-curve behavior. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917259
The authors solve the IS puzzle for the G7 countries. They find that five of the G7 countries have the expected significant negative relationship between the output gap and the realrate gap; the time series of the remaining two show material deviation from expected IScurve behavior. The authors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650342
We explore the relationship between inequality, unemployment, and inflation by considering the evidence that low …-and-flow consistent agent-based model by Rolim et al. (2023), in which inflation and inequality result from the social conflict over … income distribution. The inflation-unemployment-inequality nexus leads to the inequality-augmented Phillips curve relating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327420
/tightness and inflation expectations, contributing to the debate on the relevance of the Phillips curve in South Africa, where … previous findings have been inconclusive. Our analysis reveals that long-run inflation expectations are the primary driver of … inflation, with these expectations anchored around 5% historically but declining since the financial crisis. This trend suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314767
inflation model, when used to explain inflation persistence. Indeed, virtually all inflationary dynamics end up being captured … model (i.e. lagged inflation) and that the SPI model overemphasizes inflationary persistence. Thus, there appears to be room …" inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052485
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, ?(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … in previous study holds together with statistical estimates of goodness-of-fit and RMSFE. Relationships between inflation … relationships between the studied variables demonstrates the superiority of the latter. The cumulative inflation curve or inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053159
Why is inflation so much lower and at the same time more stable in developed economies in the 1990s, compared with the … inflation equilibrium. Our argument builds on the story proposed by Tom Sargent in "The Conquest of American Inflation," where … the fall in inflation in the 1980s was attributed to the changing beliefs informing monetary policy. To explain the escape …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224729
phenomena: (i) the flattening Phillips Curve and (ii) “well-anchored” inflation. In particular, I derive a Behavioral Attention … Phillips Curve (BAPC) whose slopes on the output gap and inflation expectations decline when inflation is less uncertain. When … inflation uncertainty is low, firms find it less costly to misperceive aggregate demand and inflation expectations, thus pay …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014105910