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It was demonstrated that jewelry and jewelry products price can be predicted at a several year horizon. The prediction consists of three steps. First, we show that the difference between producer price index and the index for jewelry and jewelry products is characterized by the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159231
This paper empirically tests for the predictions of prospect theory and the anchoring-and-adjustment heuristic in commercial real estate pricing. Using US market data, we confirm and extend previous findings in both housing and commercial real estate that loss aversion affects seller behavior in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135565
In this paper, we introduce price index insurances on agricultural goods. Seemingly similar to derivatives, there are significant differences between price index insurances and derivatives. First, unlike derivatives, there are no entrance barriers for purchasing insurances, making them the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837633
The impact of indexing is exceptionally well documented in the equity markets. The same has not yet been the case for the commodity markets. Our empirical results suggest that one should see increased price-pressure effects in the commodity markets with any increase in the popularity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021531
This paper develops and compares several methods of forecasting the S&P 500 Index using only data based on the closing value and trained over a six-decade data set. The methodologies include a C5.0 decision tree, a neural network, and a group of forecasts based on training set patterns of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023555
The Efficient Market Hypothesis is one of the most popular subjects in the empirical finance literature. Previous studies in the stock markets, which are mostly based on fixed time price variations, do not provide conclusive findings, in which evidence of short-term predictability varies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914355
The present study is an attempt to investigate the conditional volatility of returns of the two major segments of Indian financial markets viz. Re/$ Exchange Rate and Nifty Index Stock Index using GARCH (p,q) methodology. The period of the study has been taken to be April 2007-March 2017 and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242422
This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic news on the dynamics of interest rates and stock returns during "low" and "high" volatility periods. These periods are determined by estimating asset dynamics using a SWARCH process. Our results suggest that securities volatility is higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108222
This paper shed light to the existence of momentum and reversal patterns in the 18 industry indexes of DJ Euro Stoxx. The analysis is focus on European market and test a presence structural break in year 2000 (financial services and markets act). We made an analysis of five portfolios over eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153008
In this paper it will be shown that entrepreneurial caliber is the most important factor to determine share prices having a positive impact on share prices. This analysis refers annually to the whole economy, where entrepreneurial caliber is the country's average and share price is the country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155901