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This paper characterizes the equilibrium stock price reaction to arbitrarily distributed signals. This stock price reaction is shown to be proportional to the Fisher score of the news calculated under the risk-neutral probability measure. The expression for the Fisher score takes a particularly...
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Using data on indicative quotes dealers provide to clients, we establish empirical relationships regarding quote competition in the corporate bond market. Market-wide higher quoting activity is associated with greater trading volume and lower trading costs. At the dealer level, quoting dealers...
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We take a simple q-theory model and ask how well it can explain external financing anomalies, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our central insight is that optimal investment is an important driving force of these anomalies. The model simultaneously reproduces procyclical equity issuance...
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Using a large sample of bank loans issued to U.S. firms between 1990 and 2004, we find that lower takeover defenses (as proxied by the lower G-index of Gompers, Ishii, and Metrick 2003) significantly increase the cost of loans for a firm. Firms with lowest takeover defense (democracy) pay a 25%...
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We consider optimal incentive contracts when managers can, in addition to shirking or diverting funds, increase short term profits by putting the firm at risk of a low probability "disaster." To avoid such risk-taking, investors must cede additional rents to the manager. In a dynamic context,...
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Tweet-level data from a social media platform reveals low average accuracy and high dispersion in the quality of advice by financial influencers, or “finfluencers”: 28% of finfluencers are skilled, generating 2.6% monthly abnormal returns, 16% are unskilled, and 56% have negative skill...
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