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learning is sensitive to the stance taken on agents beliefs at the beginning of the sample. The New Keynesian model is … estimated under rational expectations and under learning with three different frameworks for how expectations are set at the … post-war United States. The results indicate statistical evidence for adaptive learning, however the rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217375
This paper examines the empirical significance of learning, a type of adaptive, boundedly rational expectations, in the … accumulation. Estimation results for learning models can be sensitive to the choice for the initial conditions for agents … conditions with the other parameters of the model. Maximum likelihood results show that learning under all methods for initial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726086
have rational expectations, but instead form expectations through least squares learning with an endogenously changing … learning gain. It has been suggested that this type of endogenously changing learning mechanism can create periods of excess … large variances for structural shocks, and the other state has relatively smaller variances. To assess whether learning can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218438
Two approaches are considered to incorporate judgment in DSGE models. First, Bayesian estimation indirectly imposes judgment via priors on model parameters, which are then mapped into a judgmental interest rate decision. Standard priors are shown to be associated with highly unrealistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216402
Existing methods for estimating nonlinear dynamic models are either highly computationally costly or rely on local approximations which often fail adequately to capture the nonlinear features of interest. I develop a new method, the discretization filter, for approximating the likelihood of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432773
This paper presents a New Keynesian DSGE model with inventory holding firms. The model distinguishes between goods and materials, for both production as well as for inventories. The more detailed treatment of inventory holdings offers new insights into the determinants of business cycles before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208560
We consider what, if any, relationship there is between monetary aggregates and inflation, and whether there is any substantial reason for modifying the current mainstream mode of policy analysis, which frequently does not consider monetary aggregates at all. We begin by considering the body of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025677
This introductory essay briefly summarizes the eleven empirical studies of price setting and price adjustment that are included in this special issue. The studies, which use data from several European countries, were conducted as part of the European Central Bank's Inflation Persistence Network
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134926
We consider what, if any, relationship there is between monetary aggregates and inflation, and whether there is any substantial reason for modifying the current mainstream mode of policy analysis, which frequently does not consider monetary aggregates at all. We begin by considering the body of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118439
This introductory essay briefly summarizes the eleven empirical studies of price setting and price adjustment that are included in this special issue. The studies, which use data from several European countries, were conducted as part of the European Central Bank's Inflation Persistence Network
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123409