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demand and overturns their expectations, generating a bust. This emphasizes a novel role for imperfect common knowledge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223138
which are typically followed by deeper recessions and slower recoveries. Housing finance has come to play a central role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412763
fluctuations? What is the main source of recessions, in particular, since the early 1970s? Are there energy business cycles … estimated model, the contribution of energy price shocks itself to the last five US recessions is small and negligible. Whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855767
We investigate the role of global shocks in the determination of US business cycle fluctuations, with a particular focus on their relative contribution to explaining the dynamics of output and real exchange rate. To this end, we develop a two-sector open economy dynamic stochastic general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855768
This paper presents a structural model to account for a country's business cycle fluctuations. Our model is a two-sector open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which production structure is classified by the intensity levels of primary energy (oil) use by firms in each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840317
We examine the role of oil price shocks in effecting changes both at the aggregate and sectoral levels using an estimated dynamic stochastic equilibrium open economy model. Our main finding is that energy price shocks are not able directly to generate the magnitude of the economic downturn...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471615
We find that, when estimated, a two sector computable dynamic stochastic general equilibrium open economy model of the U.S. that formally admits energy into the production process can generate plausible parameter values that can be applied to deal with a broad range of economic issues. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471623
recessions accelerate this process. In doing so we establish a new fact about the demand for skill over the business cycle. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446551
Recent evidence suggests that recessions play a crucial role in promoting automation and the reallocation of productive … resources. Consistent with this, I show that in the three previous Canadian recessions, routine jobs were disproportionately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285610
In this paper, we employ both calibration and modern (Bayesian) estimation methods to assess the role of neutral and investment-specific technology shocks in generating fluctuations in hours. Using a neoclassical stochastic growth model, we show how answers are shaped by the identification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039322