"In this paper we develop an empirical model of entrepreneurs' business continuation decisions, and we estimate its parameters using a new panel of monthly alcohol tax returns from bars in the state of Texas. In our data, entrepreneurial failure is frequent and predictable. In the first year of...

This paper considers the effects of raising the cost of entry for a potential competitor on infinite-horizon Markov-perfect duopoly dynamics with ongoing demand uncertainty. All entrants serving the model industry incur sunk costs, and exit avoids future fixed costs. We focus on the unique...

This paper develops a dynamic econometric framework for the analysis of entry, exit, and competitive conduct in oligopolistic markets. This framework only requires panel data on the demand and producer counts of geographically dispersed markets over time. It is a dynamic extension of Bresnahan...

This paper establishes the existence and uniqueness of an intuitively-refined Markov-Perfect Equilibrium in a richly-specified dynamic duopoly model of entry and exit. We develop an algorithm that computes it very quickly, which makes the model useful for experiments that use many parameter...

We present a structural model of firm growth, learning, and survival and consider its identification and estimation. In the model, entrepreneurs have private and possibly error-ridden observations of persistent and transitory shocks to profit. We demonstrate that the model's parameters can be...

This paper determines the structural shocks that shape a firm's first year by estimating a structural model of firm growth, learning, and survival using monthly sales histories from 305 Texas bars. We find that heterogeneity in firms' pre-entry scale decisions accounts for about 40% of their...