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During the recovery from the Great Recession, inflation did not reach the central bank's 2 percent objective as quickly … contestable and damped retail inflation. This hypothesis is tested using data on the online share of retail sales, which are … sensitivity of inflation to unemployment rate changes. Improvement in fit from just including the online share is tiny—so far …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030043
relation between their current wages and their past wages, adjusted for inflation. We call this the post-crisis Phillips Curve …In this paper we test a new empirical relationship between wage and inflation. We introduce the concept of a cumulative …. The shape of the post-crisis Phillips Curve expresses the theoretical assumption that the inflation rate stays below its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162969
Central bankers are raising interest rates on the assumption that wage-push inflation may lead to stagflation. This is … to maintain their real wages by reducing labor demand still further. Furthermore, we argue inflationary pressures have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448558
Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
wage formation and inflation is used to illustrate this argument. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014229836
A model of nominal labor-price dynamics is derived from the choice of an efficient strategy to adjust wages for … inflation. The model, named the rational-arrangements Phillips curve, identifies a central role for catch-up to price inflation … that has already occurred and a more latent role for rational expectations of future inflation. The reinterpreted Phillips …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728533
Despite notable improvements in the labour market since 2013, wage growth in the euro area was subdued and substantially overpredicted in 2013-17. This paper summarises the findings of an ESCB expert group on the reasons for low wage growth and provides comparable analyses on wage developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063794
This paper explores whether the transmission mechanism between wages and prices in the euro area is affected by the … growth regime. Since the great financial crisis inflation developments have posed major puzzles to economists as inflation … paper analyses whether the wage-price pass-through may have contributed to these inflation puzzles. Applying the Threshold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305400
. Latvia stands out as having had the quickest adjustment in wages. By contrast, before the crisis, Greek wages appeared to … wages to unemployment in Greece was under the program similar to that observed in Germany and Portugal (a case, which has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691586
Program. Latvia stands out as having had the quickest adjustment in wages. By contrast, before the crisis, Greek wages … reaction of wages to unemployment in Greece under the program was increasingly similar to that observed in Germany and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657630