The empirical joint distribution of return-pairs on stock indices displays high tail-dependence in the lower tail and low tail-dependence in the upper tail. The presence of tail-dependence is not compatible with the assumption of (conditional) joint normality. The presence of asymmetric-tail...

This paper focuses on testing possible linkages among international gold and ASEAN emerging markets based on daily data from July 28, 2000 to March 31, 2009. The Granger causality test and the Johansen cointegration technique were applied to examine possible short-run associations and the...

The study examines the volatility linkages between India and Asian tiger cubs, i.e., the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. It aims to explore the spillover effects of volatility among these countries' stock markets to provide valuable insights to investors and policymakers. To...

Causal relationships in econometrics are typically based on the concept of predictability and are established in terms of tests for Granger causality. These causal relationships are susceptible to change, especially during times of financial turbulence, making the real-time detection of...

This paper examines the relationship between insurance development, population, economic growth, and health expenditures for a panel of 31 OECD countries over the period 1995-2021. A dynamic panel data analysis based on cointegration, FMOLS, DOLS, VECM, and Granger causality tests is employed to...

This paper analyses the relationship between stock market capitalization and real GDP in ten Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) that joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007, with the objective of determining if the financial markets have played a role as a driver of the economic...

This paper analyzes the relationship between stock market capitalization to GDP and real GDP in 10 Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) that joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007, with the objective of determining whether the financial markets played a role as drivers of economic...

We analyze Granger causality testing in a mixed-frequency VAR, where the difference in sampling frequencies of the variables is large. Given a realistic sample size, the number of high-frequency observations per low-frequency period leads to parameter proliferation problems in case we attempt to...

We show that internationally diversified portfolios carry sizeable political risk premia. We use a tail-risk portfolio selection model to obtain political efficient frontiers from skewed return distributions and manage political risk, and design an inference test to draw conclusions. We find...