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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003401525
inflation-linked bonds (ILB mispricing) in the G7 government bond markets, and extends the slow moving capital explanation of … the persistence of arbitrage mispricing in financial markets. Nominal bonds are “richer” than cash-flow matched inflation … which represents more than eight percent of the total size of the G7 inflation-linked bond markets. Furthermore, the index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089585
Market-based measures of inflation expectations can be derived either from the difference between yields on nominal and … inflation-linked government bonds or from inflation swap rates. These measures are important indicators of the outlook for … inflation and are monitored regularly by the United Kingdom's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), alongside other measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014543
future excess returns is the key driver though only for Icelandic bonds are returns independent of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009427074
by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging in ation … inflation risks are not necessarily reduced with the inclusion of real estate assets in the minimum variance portfolio. Our … investors for holding the less attractive inflation-linked debt asset. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008652594
structure reflects changing expectations of future yields and inflation. This analysis shows that the presence of time … less than five years. By contrast, variations in inflation expected over the next two to three years are very accurately … term structures closely track changing expectations regarding future nominal and real yields but not future inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131069
This paper examines the information content of inflation forecasts derived using index-linked and conventional bonds …. The paper finds that the derived inflation term structure (ITS) gives a somewhat better indication of the bond market …'s inflation expectation than can be derived using either the nominal term structure or a variant employing strong assumptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067707
Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To … capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage …-free model across different countries in a multi-maturity term structure, where we first estimate inflation expectation by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389060
This paper investigates the link between the perceived inflation risks in macroeconomic forecasts and the inflation … risk premia embodied in financial instruments. We first provide some stylized facts about the term structure of inflation … compensation, inflation expectations and inflation risk premia in the euro area bond market. Latent factor models like ours fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316233