We examine the implications of time variation in the correlation between the equity premium and nondurable consumption growth for equity return dynamics in G-7 countries. Using a VAR-GARCH (1,1) model, we find that the correlation increases with recession indicators such as above-average...

Campbell (1996) reports that, for most countries, the unconditional correlation between quarterly stock returns and consumption growth is small in magnitude and sometimes even negative. Using a bivariate GARCH framework, we examine whether the conditional correlation between stock returns and...

In responding to the severity and broad scope of the financial crisis that began in 2007, the Federal Reserve has made aggressive use of both traditional monetary policy instruments and innovative tools in an effort to provide liquidity. In this paper, I examine the Fed’s actions in light of...