This paper devises a methodology to compare the accuracy of prediction markets and polls. The data of the Exchange of Future Events (xFuture) for Taiwan's 2006 mayoral elections and 2008 presidential election show that the prediction markets outperform the opinion polls in various indices of...

The article discusses Taiwan's investment in China, Taiwan's trade with China, China's trade with the USA and Chinese exports of Taiwanese products to the USA. The article points out that because Taiwan's manufacturer in China received most of their immediate goods and raw materials from Taiwan,...