rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co-integration …New-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is … data a strong negative correlation between the trend components of inflation and unemployment. We show that this finding …

What explains the persistence of unemployment? The literature on hysteresis, which is based on unit root testing in … autoregressive models, consists of a vast number of univariate studies, i.e. that analyze unemployment series in isolation, but few … multivariate analyses that focus on the sources of hysteresis. As a result, this question remains largely unanswered. This paper …

Persistently high unemployment rates in Germany have led to a long-running controversy on the causes of the … unemployment problem. This paper aims to re­view the contribution of Keynesian and monetarist theories to this controversy and … explores empirically their implications for the explanation of high un­em­ploy­ment in Germany using a structural vector …

is argued that in a cointegration framework it is reasonable to define hysteresis as the absence of weak exogeneity of …The view that high unemployment in West Germany and other European countries is caused by a path dependence effect - or … "hysteresis" effect - is quite popular among economists. However, because of an identification problem, much of the empirical …

In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries … with high or low unemployment volatility. We find that MS-VAR models seem to provide a better description of the data than … variance in unemployment. In the U.S. case we find that the variance of unemployment is lower in the low inflation regime than …

A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, ?(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and 2004. The relationship is tested for cointegration. All three variables involved in the relationship are proved to be … integrated of order one. Two methods of cointegration testing are used. First is the Engle-Granger approach based on the unit …

The creation of jobs in the low-pay sector is considered to be an approach to reduce unemployment, especially with … evaluate the effects of an increasing low-wage sector on unemployment, the concept of the non-accelerating inflation rate of … unemployment (NAIRU) is used. In a first step, the unobservable, exogenous NAIRU is estimated for Germany in a state space setting …

/price-setting theory, this increase should reduce structural unemployment, because labour market flexibility increases and labour costs … impact of the relationship between the extensiveness of the low-pay sector and structural unemployment. Data from Germany … 1991 to 2008, indicate a positive impact of the growing low-wage sector on structural unemployment. Moreover, some …

This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional … suggest that the UK unemployment may be explained in terms of lagged values of the real oil prices and the real interest rate …, with the order of integration of unemployment ranging between 0.50 and 1. Thus, unemployment shows the characteristics of …

In this paper we analyze the sources of German unemployment within a structural vector error correction model (SVECM … parameter restrictions. A cointegration analysis for the unified Germany reveals a long rum relationship between real wages …, productivity and unemployment which is interpreted as a wage setting relation. From a Subset VECM we identify meaningful structural …