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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615679
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by inflation and interest rate expectations as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
Researchers and practitioners employ a variety of time-series processes to forecast betas, using either short-memory models or implicitly imposing infinite memory. We find that both approaches are inadequate: beta factors show consistent long-memory properties. For the vast majority of stocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105362
The paper suggests a nonlinear and multivariate time series model framework that enables the study of simultaneity in returns and in volatilities, as well as asymmetric effects arising from shocks. Using daily data 2000-2006 for the Baltic state stock exchanges and that of Moscow we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155485
In this study, we examine the critical question of whether global equity and bond assets (both green and non-green) offer effective hedging and safe haven properties against stock market risks in South Asia, with a focus on Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. The increasing integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015197820
This paper develops a model of exchange rate dynamics that takes into account speculative positions in foreign and domestic equities in addition to the "standard" positions in short-term riskless deposits. The modeling of cross-country stock holdings is motivated by evidence that a large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129102
This paper investigates the contagion effects of the global financial crisis (GFC) and Eurozone sovereign debt crisis (ESDC) on Islamic equity and bond markets. Using a sample of Islamic stock indices from various developed and emerging markets and the global Islamic stock and bond (sukuk)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992182
We examine the ability of one- and two-factor regime switching models to describe U.S., developed, and emerging market mutual fund returns. We find that a two-factor fixed transition probability model adequately describes the multivariate series of mutual fund returns without the need to model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036932
In this paper we examine sovereign bond yield spread (BYS) spillovers between Euro zone countries during a turbulent period encompassing both the global financial crisis and the Euro zone debt crisis. Using the VAR-based spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and impulse response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058578
This paper tests for the ability of a variety of technical indicators to generate excess returns at the individual stock level in the seven emerging and frontier markets of the Gulf region. While technical indicators show some early profitability promise, after controlling for the data snooping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827919