This article analyzes the effectiveness of proposed and actual securities, financial, and tax laws designed to prevent, or dampen the severity of asset price bubbles, including laws designed to mitigate excessive speculation. The article employs experimental asset market research to measure the...

We study the relationship between economic activity, modeled by a minimum-effort coordination game, and asset markets in which securities' values correspond to outcomes of the activity. We explore both theoretically and experimentally how final prices and asset holdings in the market influence...

This paper analyzes the effect of financial transactions taxes (FTT) and idiosyncratic income risk on counter-cyclical asset trading. The model is in the class of DSGE models with incomplete markets. The paper is able demonstrate the potential welfare loss from the imposition of FTT on agents...

We examine a trivariate time series model that is subject to a regime switch, where the shifts are governed by an unobserved, two-state variable that follows a Markov process. The analysis is performed in a Bayesian framework developed by Albert and Chib (1993), where the unobserved states are...

Real, total consumption growth deviations from normal stock market wealth effects lead economic growth in advanced economies in the Americas, in Europe and in AustralAsia, as shown by Breeden (2013). Consumers' expenditures reflect their information about employment opportunities and future real...

This paper analyzes the counter-cyclical behavior of asset trading volume and the effect of idiosyncratic income to trading decisions of households. The model is in the class of DSGE models with incomplete markets. The paper makes two contributions: firstly, a structural break in trading volume...

Using the Michigan Survey of Consumers, we provide evidence that consumers' beliefs about current and future aggregate durable expenditure predict expected returns. We rationalize this finding through an asset pricing model with recursive preferences over non-durable and durable goods and belief...

Not necessarily. I provide evidence that advanced countries' equity premium and consumption growth differ significantly from those of emerging countries. I then estimate distinct disaster risk parameters for these two country groups. My Bayesian analysis demonstrates that in some aspects...

We study optimal monetary policy during temporary supply contractions when aggregate demand has inertia and expansionary policy is constrained. In this environment, it is optimal to run the economy hot until supply recovers. Positive output gaps in the low-supply phase lessen the negative output...

We present evidence that the mix of transitory and permanent shocks to consumption is changing over time. We study implications of this finding for asset prices. The uncovered dynamics of consumption implies modestly upward sloping real bond and equity curves, upward sloping nominal yield curve,...