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Basmann (Basmann, R.L., 1957, A generalized classical method of linear estimation of coefficients in a structural equation. Econometrica 25, 77-83; Basmann, R.L., 1959, The computation of generalized classical estimates of coefficients in a structural equation. Econometrica 27, 72-81) introduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011594466
Instrumental variables estimation can, in principle, avoid biases that ordinary least squares estimation suffers when explanatory variables are correlated with the disturbances. Finding appropriate instruments is a challenge. Ten strategies for avoiding invalid instruments (those correlated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122905
Since identification, instrumental variables and variables exclusion, core concepts in econometrics, are entwined, several questions arise: How is identification related to the existence of IVs? How are identification criteria related to omitted variables? Is omission/inclusion of variables from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779245
This study investigates impacts of migration on the German economy, explicitly distinguishing refugee and non-refugee immigration. We propose a macroeconometric modelling approach complemented by instrumental variable techniques. We find that non-refugee immigration has more beneficial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489862
The measurement error problem in linear time series regression, with focus on the impact of error memory, modeled as nite-order MA processes, is considered. Three prototype models, two bivariate and one univariate ARMA, and ways of handling the problem by using instrumental variables (IVs) are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459136
We propose System Projections with Instrumental Variables (SP-IV) to estimate dynamic structural relationships. SP-IV replaces lag sequences of instruments in traditional IV with lead sequences of endogenous variables. SP-IV allows the inclusion of controls to weaken exogeneity requirements, can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294913
We provide a justification for why, and when, endogeneity will not cause bias in the interpretation of the coefficients in a regression model. This technique can be a viable alternative to, or even used alongside, the instrumental variable method. We show that when performing any comparative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294915
We conduct a simulation study of Local Projection (LP) and Vector Autoregression (VAR) estimators of structural impulse responses across thousands of data generating processes, designed to mimic the properties of the universe of U.S. macroeconomic data. Our analysis considers various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334425
In this paper, we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call these shocks permanent demand shocks. They are found to be quantitatively important in the United States, in particular when the sample includes the Great Recession. Recessions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663764
The objective of the paper is to draw the theory of endogeneity in dynamic models in discrete and continuous time, in particular for diffusions and counting processes. We first provide an extension of the separable set-up to a separable dynamic framework given in term of semi-martingale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141447