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Given the possibility to modify the probability of a loss, will a profit-maximizing insurer engage in loss prevention or is it in his interest to increase the loss probability? This paper investigates this question. First, we calculate the expected profit maximizing loss probability within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395085
Many studies document failures of expected utility’s key assumption, the independence axiom. Here, we show that independence can be decomposed into two distinct axioms - betweenness and homotheticity - and that these two axioms are necessary and sufficient for independence. Thus, independence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010430733
We develop a nonparametric procedure, called the lattice method, for testing the consistency of contingent consumption data with a broad class of models of choice under risk and under uncertainty. Our method allows for risk loving and elation seeking behavior and can be used to calculate, via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671892
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001387124
We study axiomatically the problem of obtaining an expected utility representation for a potentially incomplete preference relation over lotteries by means of a set of von Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions. It is shown that, when the prize space is a compact metric space, a preference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076197
Building on the Herstein-Milnor mixture set axiomatization of expected utility theory, we employ multiple mixture operators each modeling a source of uncertainty to arrive at a definition of rich mixture sets. This enables a weakening of the reduction of compound lottery axiom leading to an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081339
Asset demand tests for Expected Utility have almost universally been implemented in contingent claim settings where markets are complete. However when markets are incomplete, these tests cannot be applied since contingent claim prices cannot be uniquely recovered from given asset prices and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998148
Two well-known violations of Expected Utility Theory (EUT) are the Allais Paradox and the preference reversal between gamble choices and gamble bids. The Allais Paradox undermines the independence axiom, according to which the preferences for two gambles should be unaffected by an independent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951263
Building on the isomorphism between the theories of risk aversion and precautionary saving, an objective index of prudent behavior is introduced, which generalizes the riskiness index set forth by Aumann and Serrano (2008). A benchmark framework for the monotone relation between risk aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088201
Given the possibility to modify the probability of a loss, will a profit-maximizing insurer engage in loss prevention or is it in his interest to increase the loss probability? This paper investigates this question. First, we calculate the expected profit maximizing loss probability within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048791