Procyclical assets tend to rise in value when the economy is expanding and fall with the advent of a recession. Countercyclical assets are instead negatively correlated with the state of the economy. Despite the use of optimization methods, hedging, and ad hoc rebalancing techniques most...

After the 2008 financial collapse, the now popular measure of implied systemic risk called the absorption ratio was introduced. This statistic measures how closely the economy's markets are coupled. The more closely financial markets are coupled the more susceptible they are to systemic...

I show that an important no-arbitrage consistent but costly collateral rental yield contributes to about two-thirds of the standard CIP violations. I measure this yield using two approaches applied to short- and long-term CIP horizons. First, I assume that the yield is observable and proxy it...

Accepted wisdom, assuming capital market equilibrium and low cash returns, advises investors to hold optimal portfolios containing little cash. But credit crunches - periods of non-price credit rationing when effective cash yields are very high - happen in the real world. Because of this, it is...

I show that a congruent, parsimonious, encompassing model discovered using David Hendry's econometric modelling approach and Autometrics can overcome the many inadequacies of the typical static models of US Treasury returns regressed on macroeconomic announcements. The typical specification...

During and after the Great Recession of 2008-09, conventional monetary policy in the United States and many other advanced economies was constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates. Several central banks implemented large-scale asset purchase (LSAP) programs, more...

This paper investigates high frequency movements of the yield curve around macroeconomic announcements by combining event studies and a no-arbitrage affine term structure model in a new Keynesian model with partial (or imperfect) information. I show that the model fits bond yields and...

The IMF began to play a prominent role in low-income countries in the late 1970s and 1980s when many countries faced overvalued exchange rates, growing budget deficits, high inflation, and low reserves. But times have changed, and many low-income countries no longer face these problems and do...

Effective from 2014, new pension scheme will be introduced in Armenia which will affect those under age of 40. The new scheme assumes that each individual will contribute some amount from his/her salary which will be invested and distributed back after retirement. The paper analyses the impact...

In this article, we are investigating the effects of the macroeconomic variables. We have applied a Quantile regression, (including LAD), in EViews 6 to test the quantile of the natural logarithmic returns of the seasonally adjusted money supply, (M2) on the natural logarithmic returns of the...