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This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464003
correlation analysis and the Granger-causality test demonstrate that there was contagion effect since correlations and cross … the Eurozone. The adjusted correlation analysis confirms that Greece and other PIIGS (even Spain and Italy) have lower … capacity to trigger contagion than core EU countries. Besides, Portugal is the most vulnerable country in the sample, whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965163
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088213
With a view to establishing a Capital Markets Union (CMU), efforts to integrate (private) capital markets and private risk-sharing in the European Union are underway. However, the single (capital) market will be burdened by a perennial potential threat to sovereign bond market stability in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051172
On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710723
explained by wake-up-call contagion. Evidence on pure contagion however is very mixed and there are no insights into the … dynamics of these effects. As a contribution to fill this gap, we apply the canonical contagion framework of Pesaran and Pick … [2007], similar to Metiu [2012], for daily data from January 2002 until May 2013. By adapting the contagion function used by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239744
positive shocks, which creates moral hazard and is best explained by a “too-systemic-to-fail” effect. The contagion effects are … economically significant contagion channel for tail spread increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963385
We study sovereign external debt crises over the past 200 years, with a focus on creditor losses, or "haircuts". Our sample covers 327 sovereign debt restructurings with external private creditors over 205 default spells since 1815. Creditor losses vary widely (from none to 100%), but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557831