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According to conventional wisdom, terms of trade shocks represent a major source of business cycles in emerging and poor countries. This view is largely based on the analysis of calibrated business-cycle models. We argue that the view that emerges from empirical SVAR models is strikingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457414
According to conventional wisdom, terms of trade shocks represent a major source of business cycles in emerging and poor countries. This view is largely based on the analysis of calibrated business-cycle models. We argue that the view that emerges from empirical SVAR models is strikingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254514
According to conventional wisdom, terms of trade shocks represent a major source of business cycles in emerging and poor countries. This view is largely based on the analysis of calibrated business-cycle models. We argue that the view that emerges from empirical SVAR models is strikingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021464
favorable shock to global demand and supply has a strong and positive effect on emerging markets, whereas an unanticipated rise … global shocks. In particular, the demand shock is the most critical, explaining roughly 30% of the fluctuation in output …, explaining about 20% respectively, whereas the supply shock is closely associated with the medium-to-long-term variation …
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