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This paper addresses stock market volatility in Germany between 1991 and 2018. Through a GARCH model with leverage term …, an estimation of volatility in the DAX is provided. Such estimation is then plugged into a quantile regression model … where potential economic determinants are analyzed. The results suggest that stock market volatility in Germany reached its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629944
analysing 2,165 daily forecasts on the DAX between 2015 and 2016. My results suggest that technical analysis may generally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921180
This paper examines the trade-offs in launching new real estate funds, specifically open-end, direct-property funds. This investment vehicle, which is designed to provide the risk-return benefits of private market real estate, is available to retail investors in a number of countries. At the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014869
Taking the perspective of international asset allocation, this paper tests if predictive regressions conditional on time-series and cross-sectional information can improve forecasts of stock index returns. We use different current price-to-fundamental ratios as predictors and condition the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949474
We examine whether real-time return forecasts are valuable to an investor looking to allocate their portfolio across a wide selection of countries. We expand the Sum-of-Parts (SoP) method for forecasting stock returns to an international setup by adding FX returns as an additional component. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403620
A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148882
A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936616
Der Zweitmarkt für geschlossene Fonds verzeichnet wachsende Umsätze und entwickelt sich zu einem festen Bestandteil des Kapitalmarktes. Der Nominalumsatz wird in 2009 erstmals die Grenze von über 1 Mrd. € überschreiten. Um ein Portfolio in optimaler Weise zusammen zu stellen und aktiv zu...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008696138
We examine the industry-level relation between the two dominant asset pricing anomalies, the continuation of past price movements (momentum) and the incomplete reaction to earnings news (post-earnings-announcement drift). With the former having long been established in REIT returns, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067074
A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316266