This study finds that equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk and to a lesser extent, by deteriorating funding conditions and investor sentiment....

Macroeconomic Theory and History -- Basic Macroeconomic Model -- Exogenous and Endogenous Fluctuations -- Exogenous and Endogenous Growth -- Asset Prices and Bubbles -- Credit Cycle -- Cash Payment and Inflation -- Complete and Incomplete Markets -- Liquidity Constraints -- Endogenously...

We examine the evolution of real per capita GDP around 100 systemic banking crises. Part of the costs of these crises owes to the protracted nature of recovery. On average, it takes about eight years to reach the pre-crisis level of income; the median is about 6 1⁄2 years. Five to six years...

While financial crises tend to be preceded by economic booms, most booms do not end with crises. Crises typically occur when booms are interrupted by persistent slowdowns in productivity growth. I develop a model in which risk of crisis emerges endogenously during boom because of increased...