In this paper a robust approach to modelling electricity spot prices is introduced. Differently from what has been recently done in the literature on electricity price forecasting, where the attention has been mainly drawn by the prediction of spikes, the focus of this contribution is on the...

In this paper we present an extensive comparison of four different classes of models for daily forecasting of spot electricity prices, including ARMAX, constant and time-varying parameter regression models as well as non linear Markov regime-switching regressions. They are selected for...

Regulators hope that competitive forces will be enough toncreate efficiency, and hence we see their persistent policy concerns about market structure, resource adequacy and regional interconnection. Facilitating the latter, in particular, through greater network interconnection capacities, and...

In the last few years we have observed an increasing interest in deregulated electricity markets. Only few papers, to the authors' knowledge, have considered the Italian Electricity Spot market since it has been deregulated recently. This contribution is an investigation with emphasis on price...

In this paper the volatility structure of electricity prices in the Italian zonal market is analyzed. Volatility should be a primary concern for investors and operators on energy markets because it is related to investment uncertainty and power plant management. Even if volatility of electricity...