We build and test a Bayesian model that shows how investors revise their earnings persistence expectations after dividend announcements. When dividend changes confirm preceding earnings changes, our model predicts inverse u-shaped investor revisions conditional on the prior expectations for...

We build and test a Bayesian model that shows how investors revise their earnings persistence expectations after dividend announcements. When dividend changes confirm preceding earnings changes, our model predicts inverse u-shaped investor revisions conditional on the prior expectations for...

We document that cost stickiness is priced in the CDS market. More specifically, we show that creditors require higher risk premiums for sticky firms consistent with stickiness increasing asset volatility. In addition, we find that creditors require lower or no risk premiums if stickiness is...