We investigate the effect of uncertainty on home durable purchase decisions, and empirically evaluate the efficacy of consumer durable policies under uncertainty. A model of lumpy home capital adjustment shows that elevated uncertainty leads households to adopt a cautionary perspective and...

This paper examines how the introduction of bond lending in China's bond market has affected violations of the law of one price, measured by the yield spread between similar treasury bonds. To identify the effect of bond lending, we exploit the fact that in China identical bonds are traded on...

We construct a daily liquidity index of China’s government bond market using transaction data from the national interbank market over the past twenty years. The index is a composite of popular price-based and quantity-based metrics of liquidity. The composite indexes, obtained by averaging...

Focusing on local state-owned enterprise (SOE) bond credit spreads in China during the period 2013 to 2020, we disentangle a province premia component from firms' fundamentals and present evidence of an increasing subnational debt market fragmentation since 2018, which is shown to be associated...

We construct a daily liquidity index of China’s government bond market using transaction data from the national interbank market over the past twenty years. The index is a composite of popular price-based and quantity-based metrics of liquidity. The composite indexes, obtained by averaging...

We use data on the Chinese market for negotiable certificates of deposit to examine the effect of the 2019 default of Baoshang Bank, which is interpreted as a break in the longstanding implicit guarantee of the Chinese government on wholesale funding debt. The Baoshang default resulted in a...

This paper uses non-parametric methods to study the efficiency (Dybvig, 1988 and Post, 2003) and risk-profiles (Varian, 1988) of dynamic portfolio choices. We design an experiment which varies the number of states (complexity), and includes an equivalent static Arrow-Debreu problem. The results...