This paper explores robust optimal targeting rules in a standard forward looking model when i) policy maker has doubts about the parameters while private agents know the model and ii) policy maker and the private sector share the same doubts. It is shown that, while the robust optimal policy...

The global financial crisis have led to a reassessment of macroeconomic policy formulation across the globe. As a consequence, countries have expanded their policy toolkits with macroprudential policies in recent years to deal with macro financial risks. The heightened volatility in capital...

Heightened volatility in cross-border capital flows has increased exchange rate volatility across emerging markets as well as in advanced economies, setting the stage for more active management of currencies. Traditionally, foreign exchange rate intervention has been the primary tool to address...

Turkish economy in the aftermath of the global crisis has faced an unprecedented divergence between domestic and external demand. Increasing risks in the face of surging short-term capital inflows, deteriorating current account deficit and rapid credit growth have called for an alternative...

This paper assesses the effectiveness of monetary policy communication of the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) by quantifying the information content of the policy statements released right after the monthly Monetary Policy Committee meetings. First, we quantify the signal regarding the next...