This One Pager presents simulations for the future of non-contributory transfers in Brazil, discussing the dilemmas of various designs and estimating costs and possible impacts on poverty and inequality. The authors also analyse a series of operational and budget-related challenges to...

This paper uses Brazilian monthly tax burden time series as an input for a study of its recent dynamic determinants. The estimates shows that tax burden reached 33,4% of GDP in 2014 that is lower than 33,6% of 2005 and without trend of growth. In addition, it presents an analysis of tax policy...

The goal of the study is to evaluate the targeting of the Bolsa Família Programme and its impacts on the reduction of poverty and inequality. To that end, we have used data from the 2001-2015 standard National Household Sample Survey (Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios - PNAD) and...

The objective of this paper is to propose a universal child grant for Brazil. We will discuss the rationality behind the proposal, how best to design it, its initial operational set-up,its costs, and some of its distributive aspects. The proposed allowance is based on the unification of the...

Regional inequality may hinder national development, which is disconcerting for Brazil as one of the world's most unequal countries. This chapter compiles new and existing state-level estimates of per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Brazil and examines their dispersion over the time...

In this paper we analyze Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (PNAD Contínua) microdata from 2012 to 2018 to document how the mid-decade economic recession reversed the trend of pro-poor growth that dated back to the early 2000s. Since the recession, there was a rise in...

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of labor earnings volatility in Brazil between 2012 and 2023. During this period, Brazil's economy experienced intense economic growth followed by large recessions, allowing us to assess changes in volatility over the business cycle. In addition,...