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We estimate Taylor (1993) rules and identify monetary policy shocks using no-arbitrage pricing techniques. Long … about the policy rule used by the Federal Reserve. The no-arbitrage framework also accommodates backward-looking and forward … returns and most of the movements in the term spread. Taylor rules estimated with no-arbitrage restrictions differ from Taylor …
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The problem of weak identification has recently attracted attention in the analysis of structural macroeconomic models. Using robust methods can result in large confidence sets making inference difficult. We overcome this problem in the analysis of a forward-looking Taylor rule by seeking...
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We study the properties of the optimal nominal interest rate policy under different levels of price indexation. In our model indexation regulates the sources of inflation persistence. When indexation is zero, the inflation gap is purely forward- looking and inflation persistence depends only on...
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We investigate the relative roles of monetary policy and shocks in causing the Great Moderation, using indirect inference where a DSGE model is tested for its ability to mimic a VAR describing the data. A New Keynesian model with a Taylor Rule and one with the Optimal Timeless Rule are both...
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