This paper examines from various angles foreign investors' daily transactions in six emerging Asian equity markets and their relationship with local market returns and exchange rate changes over the period 1999-2006. Confirming much of the literature, we find that equity market returns matter...

Schmukler and Serven investigate the patterns and determinants of the currency risk premium in two currency boards - Argentina and Hong Kong. Despite the presumed rigidity of currency boards, currency premium is almost always positive and at times very large. Its term structure is usually upward...

The Martingale properties of the floating exchange rates of the ASEAN 3 region are analyzed in this study using contemporary (2000 to 2012) weekly data of inter-bank call rates. The main goal of the analysis is to see if informational efficiency is a feature floating (managed or independently...

This paper proposes a measure of exchange rate disconnect. Working in a two-currency international economy, our theory implies that the disconnect is the ratio of two martingales. Weanalyze empirically our measure of disconnect using 406 pairs of economies to reveal a geography of disconnect....

We examine the in- and out-of-sample behavior of two popular trading systems, Alexander and Double MA filters, for fourteen developed-country currencies using daily data with bid-ask spreads. We find significant in-sample returns in the early periods. But out-of-sample returns are lower and only...

We consider an incomplete markets international economy in discrete-time. The first result is an impossibility theorem showing that if cross-currency no-arbitrage is to hold, the exchange rate cannot be a stationary process in levels. The second result is a system of stochastic discount factor...

This introductory note summarizes and draws together the work reported in eight research papers written by staff economists of the Board's Division of International Finance as part of a project on global financial integration. The eight papers are also International Discussion Finance Discussion...

This paper investigates the effects of liberalization on the pricing of market and currency risk for a number of financial markets in the European Union (EU). An International Asset Pricing Model with a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean specification and time-varying prices of risk is used for the four...

Recent evidence on the importance of cross-border equity flows calls for a rethinking of the standard theory of external adjustment. We introduce equity holdings and portfolio choice into an otherwise conventional open-economy dynamic equilibrium model. Our model is simple and it admits an exact...

We study investment restrictions in a dynamic, two-country, two-good general equilibrium model. The issues that we are concerned with are the impact of the investment restrictions on the cost of capital, the asset returns' volatilities, the international stock market co-movement, and the optimal...