We develop a detailed epidemiological multi-factor model, the K-Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed (K-SEIR) model, as well as several simpler sub-models, as its building blocks. The general model enables us to account for all the relevant COVID-19 features, its disparate impact on different...

Many quantitative firms have suffered substantial losses as a result of the COVID-19 selloff. In this note, we highlight three lessons that quantitative researchers could learn from this crisis. First, researchers should develop more nowcasting methods, and pay less attention to forecasts....

Six weeks after becoming a pandemic, COVID-19 has caused over 150,000 deaths across 210 countries. Governments around the world have instituted universal lockdowns to curve the spread of this serious disease. While it is obvious that extended universal lockdowns have saved lives that otherwise...

In this paper, we propose two practicable approaches for consistently modelling the realworld and risk-neutral measures within cross-asset Monte-Carlo frameworks. We go on to explore the necessity of supporting the real-world measure and consider its calibration with the aid of an explicit...

The recent Financial Action Task Force (FATF) Recommendations define virtual assets and virtual asset service providers (VASPs), and require under the Travel Rule that originating VASPs obtain and hold the required and accurate originator information and the required beneficiary information on...

The calibration of local volatility models to market data is one of the most fundamental problems of financial engineering. Under the restrictive assumption that the entire implied volatility surface is known, this problem can be solved by virtue of the so-called Dupire equation. In reality,...

We use stochastic volatility models to describe the evolution of the asset price, its instantaneous volatility, and its realized volatility. In particular, we concentrate on the Stein-Stein model (SSM) (1991) for the stochastic asset volatility and the Heston model (HM) (1993) for the stochastic...

We propose a structural default model to evaluate the counterparty risk by trading in credit default swap (CDS) contracts. We model the joint evolution of the firm value of the entity underlying the CDS contract and the counterparty using a correlated jump-diffusion process. Unlike the...