This paper investigates the joint determination of two dimensions of a security: trading volume and return. In much of the existing literature, volume is modeled as being exogenously related to security returns. Our analysis evaluates the extent to which trading activity also depends on security...

This paper provides a comprehensive statistical and economic evidence on the forecasting power of local-currency equity and bond returns in predicting exchange rate returns. We first construct out-of-sample (OOS) forecasts using various model specifications of equity and bond returns, and assess...

Framing stock and bond market characteristics as an endogenous and unified system, this paper investigates joint relationships between stock returns, stock trading volume, bond returns, and bond trading volume. Existing literature largely ignores reverse causality by considering an isolated...

We provide an in-depth analysis of the predictive ability of models with fundamentals and technical indicators for fourteen emerging market currencies. Our findings suggest that the forecasts from the symmetric Taylor rule as well as from a predictive regression exploiting the informational...

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade crashes during the turbulent periods surrounding the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis and the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. The motivation is to use an important tendency of...

This article examines the influence of IMF announcements as a source of news on currency and stock markets in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic. We use a set of IMF-related news for a sample of 14 emerging countries from December, 2019 to December, 2020. Our central finding is that IMF news...

Framing stock and bond market characteristics as an endogenous and unified system, this paper investigates joint relationships between stock returns, stock trading volume, bond returns, and bond trading volume. Existing literature largely ignores reverse causality by considering an isolated...

This study examines if mutual fund flow information can be exploited as a predictor for future fund performance, and if an economically profitable trading strategy can be executed. My central finding is that investors can improve their fund selection ability and beat the market conditional on...

We use an instrumental variables (IV) approach to examine the effects of dynamic endogeneity when estimating the relationship between mutual fund flows and performance. Unlike the one-stage estimation approach commonly used in prior research, the IV approach allows us to address reverse...

We use a sample of 27 countries and 63 currency news announcements in an event study framework to examine the impact of currency news on international government bond markets. Our findings reveal a significant spillover of currency news into bond markets. Specifically, the evidence shows...