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We construct a new class of hybrid exchange rate models, combining macroeconomic fundamentals from a conventional Taylor rule with information from the foreign exchange interdealer market. We provide evidence that hybrid models have a superior model fit and produce more accurate in-sample...
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We study the relationship between foreign exchange trading activity and volatility on the USD/EUR foreign exchange market on the basis of a unique data set around the events of 09/11/2001. We find that volatility and bid-ask spreads are by far larger at that time, but the shock is not...
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We show short selling in corporate bonds forecasts future bond returns. Short selling predicts bond returns where private information is more likely, in high-yield bonds, particularly after Lehman's collapse. Short selling predicts returns following both high and low past bond returns. This,...
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We examine whether commonality in liquidity arises from style investing. We sort stocks into styles along widely-used size and growth dimensions, and show that style-related commonality in liquidity is significant, dominates commonality in liquidity with the rest of the market, and has more than...
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We empirically investigate the participation and transactional liquidity provided by algorithmic vs. human traders during “abnormally” stressful periods, relative to what they do in “normal” periods, and the resultant implications for the quality and fragility of markets. We find strong...
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We investigate empirically the impact of electronic market-makers on the reliability and the consistency with which financial markets provide transactional liquidity services. Our analysis is based on proprietary intraday data from U.S. futures markets. We document results of considerable...
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