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Temperature responses and optimal climate policies depend crucially on the choice of a particular climate model. To illustrate, the temperature responses to given emission reduction paths implied by the climate modules of the well-known integrated assessments models DICE, FUND and PAGE are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718250
This paper uses insights from decision theory under uncertainty to explore research challenges in climate economics. We … embrace a broad perspective of uncertainty with three components: risk (probabilities assigned by a given model), ambiguity … for using models to provide policy guidance. The uncertainty components and their implications for decision theory help us …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901480
of climate risk that is significantly amplified and increasing in magnitude as climate change increases due to aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255764
Climate Engineering, and in particular Solar Radiation Management (SRM) has become a widely discussed climate policy option to study in recent years. However, its potentially strategic nature and unforeseen side effects provide major policy and scientific challenges. We study the role of the SRM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546706
composition of the optimal mix as both persuade the risk-averse social planner to invest more in mitigation. Overall, we identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451547
Climate change is predicted to substantially alter forest growth. Optimally, forest owners should take these future changes into account when making rotation decisions today. However, the fundamental uncertainty surrounding climate change makes predicting these shifts hard. Hence, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012015877
difficulties identified with IAMs, the choice of the risk aversion parameter and the underestimation of damages, are also directly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510301
We demonstrate the advantages of a climate treaty based solely on rules for international permit markets when there is uncertainty about abatement costs and environmental damages. Such a ‘Rules Treaty’ comprises a scaling factor and a refunding rule. Each signatory can freely choose the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014041072
assessment model (IAM) with long-run risk, adapting methods from the asset pricing literature to deal with endogenous climate … risk. The model solves in closed-form for general degrees of risk aversion, stochastic climate feedbacks, and a stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222601
Climate change has become one of the most prominent concerns globally. In this paper, we study the transition risk of … and output growth during the transition risk. With optimal carbon price designs, it should react even less to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014299402