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We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
Using an extended version of the credit risk model CreditRisk, we develop a flexible framework with numerous applications amongst which we find stochastic mortality modelling, forecasting of death causes as well as profit and loss modelling of life insurance and annuity portfolios which can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001147
Recently we developed a new framework in Hirz et al. (2015) to model stochastic mortality using extended CreditRisk methodology which is very different from traditional time series methods used for mortality modelling previously. In this framework, deaths are driven by common latent stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018758
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957411
This paper provides a rigorous mathematical formulation of the main components within the building block approach (BBA) and the variable fee approach (VFA) in the IFRS17 standard as released in May 2017. The given actuarial model provides formulas for a precise depiction of the contractual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913801
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In this paper, we discuss a generalization of the collective risk model and of Panjer's recursion. The model we consider consists of several business lines with dependent claim numbers. The distributions of the claim numbers are assumed to be Poisson mixture distributions. We let the claim...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292820