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Recently, new classes of positive and measurable functions, M(ρ) and M(±∞), have been defined in terms of their asymptotic behaviour at infinity, when normalized by a logarithm (Cadena et al., 2015, 2016, 2017). Looking for other suitable normalizing functions than logarithm seems quite...
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In this paper, we develop a statistical approach to explore empirically the dependence between risks in the extremes. We apply it to study the dependence between mortality and market risks. With data for 6 developed countries, extending over 80 years, we pick the worst 10 years of mortality and...
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When a random field (Xt; t 2 R2) is thresholded on a given level u, the excursion set is given by its indicator 1[u;1)(Xt). The purpose of this work is to study functionals (as established in stochastic geometry) of these random excursion sets, as e.g. the capacity functional as well as the...
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One of the main issues in the statistical literature of extremes concerns the tail index estimation, closely linked to the determination of a threshold above which a Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) can be fi tted. Approaches to this estimation may be classifi ed into two classes, one using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965572
In this study we empirically explore the capacity of historical VaR to correctly predict the future risk of a financial institution. We observe that rolling samples are better able to capture the dynamics of future risks. We thus introduce another risk measure, the Sample Quantile Process, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965577
Under the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) capital charges for the trading book are based on the coherent expected shortfall (ES) risk measure, which show greater sensitivity to tail risk. In this paper it is argued that backtesting of expected shortfall-or the trading book model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965579