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We review heterogeneous agent-based models of financial stability and their application in stress tests. In contrast to the mainstream approach, which relies heavily on the rational expectations assumption and focuses on situations where it is possible to compute an equilibrium, this approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906282
This paper investigates the effects of contagion in interbank lending networks. I introduce a new measure based on the harmonic distance of Acemoglu et al. (2015b) and, motivated by their theoretical results, compare it to well-known centrality measures already applied in the systemic risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011579475
In this paper we study systemic risk for the US and Europe. We show that banks' exposures to common risk factors are crucial for systemic risk. We come to this conclusion by first showing that relations between US and European banks are smaller than within each region. We then show that European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784871
In the last decades, international financial integration has markedly increased. This paper analyses the impact of these developments on banks' common exposure to shocks and on banking sector systemic risk. Theoretically, this impact is ambiguous. Empirically, we find that banks' common exposure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155299
Foreign-dominated banking sectors, such as those prevalent in Central and Eastern Europe, are susceptible to two major sources of systemic risk: (i) linkages between local banks, and (ii) linkages between a foreign par- ent bank and its local subsidiary. Using a nonparametric method based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344152
I compare the performance of three measures of institution-level systemic risk exposure — Exposure CoVaR (Adrian and Brunnermeier, 2016), Systemic Expected Shortfall (Acharya, et al., 2016),and Granger Causality (Billio,etal.,2012). I modify Exposure CoVaR to allow for forecasting, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007975
We examine the pervasive view that "equity is expensive" which leads to claims that high capital requirements are costly for society and would affect credit markets adversely. We find that arguments made to support this view are fallacious, irrelevant to the policy debate by confusing private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010203632
We propose a methodology for measuring the market-implied capital of banks by subtracting from the market value of equity (market capitalization) a credit-spread-based correction for the value of shareholders' default option. We show that without such a correction, the estimated impact of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168743
We use the results of the ECB's Comprehensive Assessment to evaluate the importance of bank business model on risk assessment and the persuasive effectiveness of different supervisory styles on banks' recapitalization. Our analysis reveals inconsistencies in the information content provided by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408815
During the Global Financial Crisis, regulators imposed short-selling bans to protect financial institutions. The rationale behind the bans was that "bear raids", driven by short-sellers, would increase the individual and systemic risk of financial institutions, especially for institutions with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226885