Using simulations, we show that the probability of default and losses given default of subprime mortgage loans are small in comparison to their interest rates. The implication is that these loans are profitable for risk neutral efficient banks. As subprime mortgages remain a good investment even...

The abnormally high mortgage default rates that became apparent in early 2007 were not foreseen in June 2005, when mortgage production in the US reached its peak. Could the significant increase in mortgage defaults that triggered the resultant subprime crisis, have been predicted? This paper...

This paper discusses the role of risk management and corporate governance as causal factors in the onset of the financial crisis. The downturn in the housing and mortgage markets precipitated the first phase of the financial crisis in August 2007 when the solvency of a number of large financial...

In recent history, financial markets worldwide experienced severe turmoil due to the subprime crisis originating from the practice of US mortgage banks to securitise loans given especially to subprime borrowers. In the same crisis, several distressed banks were bailed out by states with even...

The surge in subprime mortgage defaults during the Great Recession triggered trillions of dollars of losses in the financial sector and accounted for more than 50% of foreclosures at the height of the crisis. In particular, subprime mortgages originated in 2006-2007 were three times more likely...

Prior to the subprime crisis, mortgage brokers charged higher percentage fees for loans that turned out to be riskier ex post, even when conditioning on other risk characteristics. High conditional fees reveal borrower attributes that are associated with high borrower risk, such as suboptimal...

We provide new evidence that credit supply shifts contributed to the U.S. subprime mortgage boom and bust. We collect original data on both government and private mortgage insurance premiums from 1999-2016, and document that prior to 2008, premiums did not vary across loans with widely different...

This paper examines the effects of liquidity during the 2007-09 crisis, focussing on the senior tranche of the CDX.NA.IG Index and on Moody's AAA Corporate Bond Index. The aim is to understand whether these senior credit indices were discounted below fair value and to what extent this discount...

The crisis that broke out in mid-2007 was caused by the fact that the CDO market had grown to a size sufficient to wreak general havoc when it suddenly collapsed. Several authors have argued that economic inequality was important to the growth of this market. This paper attempts to strengthen...

This paper uses a dynamic model of borrowers, savers, and banks to understand the behavior of house prices, mortgage credit and interest rates during the housing boom. Banks lend long-term defaultable mortgages to borrowers and raise funds by issuing equity and deposits to savers. Securitization...