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This paper examines the changes in price and return dynamics that affected the commodity market around the 2007-2008 boom&bust. Relying on data at intra-day frequency and adapting the recently proposed realized Beta GARCH model of Hansen et. al (J. Appl. Econ.(2014)), it is shown that starting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005187
This papers investigates the change in risk transmission mechanism between commodities as a result of the financialization of the commodity market. Relying on intra-day price observations for 25 commodities traded in the US market, the time series of realized variances/covariances is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027374
This study examines the relationship between investor sentiment and intraday return dynamics for safe haven assets, with particular focus on crash risk in these assets. Examining intraday returns for a wide range of safe havens proposed in the literature, we find that shocks to investor...
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We define risk spillover as the dependence of a given asset variance on the past covariances and variances of other assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an international equity portfolio. According to the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407672
The increased availability of high-frequency data provides new tools for forecasting of variances and covariances between assets. However, recent realized (co)variance models may suffer from a 'curse of dimensionality' problem similar to that of multivariate GARCH specifications. As a result,...
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