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The paper analyses the transmission of global financial shocks to individual member states of the European Monetary Union (EMU), in which monetary policy is delegated to the ECB and financial markets are fully integrated. Using a panel VAR model, we show that the asymmetric effects of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495568
the world. By tightening financial conditions globally, these shocks affect the left tail of the conditional output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
In this paper, we study the effects of structural shocks that influence global risk - the main factor behind a "global capital flows cycle" - and how risk, in turn, is transmitted to capital flows. Our results show that not all the risk shocks driving the global financial cycle have the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009141
those outside of it. These effects are stronger for firms whose stock return has a higher covariance with the world market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012161108
Global liquidity refers to the volumes of financial flows - largely intermediated through global banks and non-bank financial institutions - that can move at relatively high frequencies across borders. The amplitude of responses to global conditions like risk sentiment, discussed in the context...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322743
In this paper, I construct a dataset, which measures the external liability composition of emerging market economies in different instruments and currencies. Thus, the dataset shows, with reasonable precision, the original sin dissipation in emerging markets since the early-2000s and accordingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293990
We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186798
We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship between global factors and country-specific capital flow dynamics. Studying a global sample of 43 countries from 1994 until 2015, we show that global co-movement of macroeconomic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929696
US uncertainty shock. Further, we show consistent higher negative responses during weak financial conditions than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310354
In the postglobal financial crisis period, the central banks of the advanced economies pursued unconventional monetary policies, such as the United States (US) Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE). Those policies and their unwinding may significantly affect cross-border capital flows and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346243