Purpose – To avoid aggregation bias by using trade data at bilateral level so that we can determine how sensitive are Britain’s inpayments and outpayments to the value of the British pound.Design/methodology/approach – The method is based on the bounds testing approach to cointegration and...

Previous research that investigated the relationship between the black market and the official exchange rate employed cointegration analysis to establish the long-run relationship and Granger causality to detect the short-run causality between the two rates (for a small number of countries). In...

Several studies have tested the J-curve phenomenon for Australia using non-stationary aggregate trade data and have provided mixed results. They not only suffer from the 'aggregation bias problem' but also from the 'spurious regression problem'. To overcome these problems, in this paper we...