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We show that the previously documented predictability of macroeconomic and technical variables for market returns is also evident in individual stock returns. Technical variables generate better predictability on firms with higher limits to arbitrage (smaller, illiquid, volatile firms), while...
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We use firm characteristics to estimate the enduring momentum probabilities for past winners (losers) to continue to be future winners (losers). The enduring momentum probability is significantly related to stock return persistence and explains cross-sectional expected returns. In addition, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291499
This study shows that 14 widely documented technical indicators explain cross-sectional stock expected returns. The technical indicators have lower estimation errors than the three-factor Fama-French model and the historical mean. The long-short portfolios based on the cross-sectional estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292437
This study shows that 14 widely documented technical indicators explain cross-sectional stock expected returns. The technical indicators have lower estimation errors than the three-factor Fama-French model and the historical mean. The long-short portfolios based on the cross-sectional estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292438
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We investigate the specification and power of intraday event study test statistics. Both the mean and market models generate well-specified return results for one- to thirty- minute intervals. Moreover, they detect return shocks equivalent to one spread in one- and five-minute interval data and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950189
Time-series momentum (TSMOM) and moving average (MA) trading rules are closely related; however there are important differences. TSMOM signals occur at points that coincide with a MA direction change, whereas MA buy (sell) signals only require price to move above (below) a MA. Our empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035908
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We consider the effectiveness of trailing stop-loss rules which, unlike traditional stop-loss rules, involve the sell trigger price being moved higher to protect profits as prices rise. Our results indicate that while these rules have inferior mean returns to a simple buy-and-hold strategy, they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892363