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1
False dichotomy alert : improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk
Tetlock, Philip E.
;
Lu, Yunzi
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1021-1025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465214
Saved in:
2
The probability conflation : a reply to Tetlock et al.
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
;
Richman, Ronald
;
Carreira, Marcos
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1026-1029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465215
Saved in:
3
Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme
Baron, Jonathan
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
; …
- In:
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for …
11
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 133-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382759
Saved in:
4
Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Baron, Jonathan
;
Foster, Dean P.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 344-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510904
Saved in:
5
Validating the contribution-weighted model : robustness and cost-benefit analyses
Chen, Eva
;
Budescu, David V.
;
Lakshmikanth, Shrinidhi K.
; …
- In:
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for …
13
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 128-152
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011503760
Saved in:
6
A behaviorally informed survey : powered market agent
Inchauspe, Jessica
;
Atanasov, Pavel
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
; …
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
8
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 1-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530213
Saved in:
7
Confidence calibration in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting competition
Moore, Don A.
;
Swift, Samuel A.
;
Minster, Angela
; …
- In:
Management science : journal of the Institute for …
63
(
2017
)
11
,
pp. 3552-3565
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772472
Saved in:
8
A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment : the questions we choose also matter
Merkle, Edgar C.
;
Steyvers, Mark
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 817-832
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746911
Saved in:
9
Sacred versus pseudo-sacred values : how people cope with taboo trade-offs
Tetlock, Philip E.
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
;
Scoblic, J. Peter
- In:
The American economic review
107
(
2017
)
5
,
pp. 96-99
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782633
Saved in:
10
Accountability systems and group norms : balancing the risks of mindless conformity and reckless deviation
Patil, Shefali V.
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
- In:
Journal of behavioral decision making
30
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 282-303
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011633940
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