Showing 1 - 10 of 355,213
This paper presents the results of long run labour productivity and GDP growth rate projections (until 2050) for each of the 25 EU Member States and provides a detailed overview of the forecast methodology used. These projections were undertaken in order to provide an internationally comparable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714560
This paper presents the results of long run labour productivity and GDP growth rate projections (until 2050) for each of the 25 EU Member States and provides a detailed overview of the forecast methodology used. These projections were undertaken in order to provide an internationally comparable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015316217
In the euro area, there is mixed evidence that the GDP per capita of lower-income economies has been catching up with that of higher-income economies since the start of monetary union. The significant real convergence performance of some of the most recent members contrasts with that of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755500
Objective: The objective of the article is to prove the empirical and predictive value of the aggregate opinions of businesses and households for expanding cyclical macroeconomic data in Russia, especially during the coronavirus shocks. Research Design & Methods: We use qualitative information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519210
In this paper we propose a new real-time forecasting model for euro area GDP growth, D€STINY, which attempts to bridge the existing gap in the literature between large- and small-scale dynamic factor models. By adopting a disaggregated modelling approach, D€STINY uses most of the information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071333
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424837
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009730013
This paper derives forecasts for euro area real GDP growth based on a bottom up approach from the production side. That is, GDP is forecast via the forecasts of value added across the different branches of activity, which is quite new in the literature. Linear regression models in the form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825975
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002425567
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580798