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International real business cycle models are not able to account for the high volatility of imports, exports, the trade …, the model presented here comes much closer to replicating the relatively high volatility observed in the data while also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184124
We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship … country-specific capital flow volatility and that the impact of these variables has become even more important since the 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929696
We examine the effects of increased international integration of both goods and financial markets on business cycle dynamics. To do so, we develop a new econometric framework for modelling cross-country spillovers in which the magnitude of these spillovers is an empirically determined function...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414228
Conventional wisdom suggests that financial liberalization can help countries insure against idiosyncratic risk. There is little evidence, however, that countries have increased risk sharing despite recent widespread financial liberalization. This work shows that the key to understanding this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153048
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility. Economic theory does … not provide a clear guide to the effects of financial integration on volatility, implying that this is essentially an … empirical question. We provide a comprehensive examination of changes in macroeconomic volatility in a large group of industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014084811
, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474806
volatility of emerging and developed economies. We study a multi-sector small open economy in which firms produce and trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911446
This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment … fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant decline in the volatility of … in macroeconomic volatility as well as declines in the degree of comovement of output and consumption growth with their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782433
This paper examines the effects of trade costs on macroeconomic volatility. We first construct a dynamic, two … variability of the trade balance should increase. Trade costs have ambiguous effects on the volatility of other macro variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783054
, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001680906