Tokens are units digitally represented in a distributed ledger or blockchain. The various uses of this technology have the potential to transform a wide array of economic activities, from traditional commercial transactions to sophisticated financial undertakings. This paper explores the...

The COVID-19 pandemic is forcing researchers, clinicians, and policymakers to accelerate the evaluation of treatments and vaccines. Critical to these evaluations is the ability to characterize the uncertainty of inferences in clear terms accessible to a broad set of stakeholders with varying...

Long-term forecasts are hard, but also indispensable in personal and policy planning. How could long-term predictions of complex phenomena, such as COVID-19 contagion, be enhanced? While much effort has gone into building predictive models of the pandemic, some have argued that early exponential...

This paper is dedicated to study the discrete time compound binomial dual risk model, where the income is time-correlated, and there is a constant dividend barrier. It is close to the reality if we consider that the incomes in different periods are correlated. And in this paper, the income is...