What is the causal effect of conflict on refugees' return and integration? To answer this question, we launched a panel survey of Ukrainian refugees across Europe in June 2022 and combined it with geocoded conflict data. Most refugees plan to return, and initial return intentions strongly...

During 2022, about eight million Ukrainians were displaced from Ukraine due to the Russian invasion. Whether these individuals will return holds great significance for Ukraine's reconstruction and is pivotal in shaping integration strategies in host countries. We used Facebook ads to recruit a...

Most Ukrainians plan to return, but the share of Ukrainian refugees planning to settle outside of Ukraine has gradually increased and reached 25 percent by mid-2024.By June 2024, 12 percent of Ukrainian refugees had returned to Ukraine and 7 percent had moved to another host country compared to...

How does mobile internet access affect the desire to emigrate and migration plans? To answer this question, we combine survey data on more than 600,000 individuals from 110 countries with data on worldwide 3G mobile internet rollout. We show that an increase in mobile internet access increases...

In this paper, we present theory and global evidence on how mobile internet access affects desire and plans to emigrate. Our theory predicts that mobile internet access increases desire and plans to emigrate. Our empirical analysis combines survey data on 617,402 individuals from 2,120...

Ukraine has a long history of emigration and a large diaspora in high-income countries.This diaspora has supported democratic and economic development before and during the war. Remittances corresponded to 7 percent of Ukraine’s GDP in 2021. Return migration will be an essential factor for the...

Der Krieg in der Ukraine hat zu der größten Fluchtbewegung innerhalb Europas seit dem Zweiten Weltkrieg geführt. Mehr als vier Millionen Ukrainer*innen leben derzeit unter vorübergehendem Schutz in der Europäischen Union. Zu wissen, ob sie in ihre Heimat zurückkehren, ist wichtig: Für die...

Der demografische Wandel stellt Bayern in den nächsten Jahrzehnten vor große Herausforderungen. Ohne Zuwanderung würde die Bevölkerung in Bayern bis 2040 um 5 % abnehmen. Um das Wirtschaftswachstum in Bayern aufrechtzuerhalten, ist eine umfangreiche Zuwanderung erforderlich. Deutschland...