high levels of polarization; (2) the relationship between conflict onset and the range over which we calculate variable …This article examines how the relationship between ethnic polarization and civil war could be moderated by different … degrees of ethnic salience. Using an agent-based computational model, we analyze the polarization—conflict relationship when …

each of these factors was likely due to three pre-existing patterns associated with ethnicity. First, when political power …

our data. We integrate conflict data from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) with spatially … disaggregated microdata to analyze how AOGLs influence conflict incidence across regions of Nigeria. Our findings indicate limited … laws have led to a slight increase in overall conflict within the states implementing them, arguably due to increased …

social conflict for 30 sub-Saharan African countries using panel data techniques. Our results show that changes in the terms … of trade are the most important correlate of economic performance in post-conflict environments. This variable is … significant effect. The results suggest that exogenous factors ("luck") are an important factor in post-conflict recovery. They …

-lasting civilwar. We find that an acute polarization between ex-rebels’ groups is highly conduciveto electoral violence. In particular …

This paper focuses on the main factors that contribute to the dangers of violent internal conflict erupting, or re …-igniting after a peace has been concluded. The conflict literature has identified greed and grievance as the principle causes of … conflict. But for either of them to take the form of large-scale violence there must be other factors at work, specifically a …

decrease the likelihood of conflict. They also find that ethnic dominance is significant, while social fractionalization is not …The Middle East is one of the most conflict-prone regions—butwhy? The Collier-Hoeffler model of civil war provides … significant predictor of conflict. For conflict in the Middle East, a more complex picture emerges. Consistent with Collier and …

This paper argues that natural resources in the past have been falsely identified as a cause of civil conflict onset …. The idea that natural resources spur conflict has reached a certain degree of acceptance among scholars and policy makers …